Santa Cruz "facts" not true just Petpac-Naia Propaganda

    • Gold Top Dog

    Santa Cruz "facts" not true just Petpac-Naia Propaganda

    The myth that the Santa Cruz S/N law is not working pushed by PetPac and NAIA, is not true.   Here is the real story.

    AB 1634 Backtrack on Bogus Statistics? (CA Healthy Pets Coalition - published July 3, 2007) Much of the fight over AB 1634, which would require universal spay and neuter of most pets, has been who has the most honest statistics. One contentious issue among both camps is the success, or lack of success, of the Santa Cruz County spay neuter ordinance that much of AB 1634 is based on. Supporters point to statistics showing a dramatic decrease in the number of animals going to shelters in Santa Cruz County since the new law took effect as a sign of the ordinance's success. Not so, say groups opposed to the bill, including PetPAC and the National Animal Interest Alliance (NAIA). These groups have released a flood of graphs, charts and press releases stating that the Santa Cruz ordinance has in fact resulted in a drastic increase in shelter costs, and stagnant intake numbers that do not show an appreciable decline. But in a new twist, it now appears that the statistics being distributed by the groups opposed to the bill are actually not figures for Santa Cruz alone.

    The numbers used have joined the statistics for Santa Cruz, which has the ordinance, and Watsonville, which does not. The resulting numbers, which include both communities, do show an increase in costs and an unimpressive, slight decrease in shelter intake. But, when the statistics are broken out by community, Santa Cruz does show the dramatic decrease in shelter population touted by the bill's supporters, while Watsonville, with no ordinance, shows an increase in both shelter intake and costs. "It's disingenuous, ill informed and sloppy. I hope that these groups will have the decency to retract their incorrect data" said Judie Mancuso, Campaign Director for the AB 1634 campaign. "They've been spreading misinformation about the bill, and now it's coming back to bite them." Indeed, several Sacramento insiders are interested in what this potentially embarrassing information means for groups opposed to the bill. "You can't just come out and say 'We've been misleading you' to Legislators, no one wants to do that. But you also can't just sit back once something like this is revealed and act like it hasn't happened. In this particular case, I would think that a brief retraction, without any fanfare, would be the smartest move" said a consultant familiar with the bill, who declined to be named because of a relationship with one of the groups.

    Retractions of data are not uncommon in political campaigns, but typically they are most successful, and uneventful, if the data is of a benign nature. In this case, the incorrect data has been used for weeks in high level materials distributed by PetPAC and NAIA, and has been one of the cornerstones of their opposition to the bill. "They really are in a bind" said the consultant, "I wouldn't want to be in their shoes on this one. They went overboard with the data before making sure they were using correct numbers." The flap over the statistics is just one of several controversies surrounding the bill, which has generated more public comment than any other legislation this year. The bill is to be heard next in the Senate Local Government Committee on July 11.




    [linkhttp://www.cahealthypets.com/07-03-stats.htm]http://www.cahealthypets.com/07-03-stats.htm[/link]
    • Gold Top Dog
    Here are the expenditures reported to the state and maintained on the Controllers web site.
     
    Santa Cruz city went from spending $238,250 in 1999 to $435,734 in 2005 with a population increase of 734.
     
    Watsonville went from spending $112.012 in 1999 to $381,344 in 2005 with a population increase of 12,087.
     
    Scotts Valley went from spending $55,461 in 2000 to $72,768 in 2005 with a population increase of 734.
     
    Santa Cruz county went from spending $748,317 in 1999 to $1,227707 in 2005 with a population increase of 7436.
     
     
    Also go to the Santa Cruz web site and look at their budget numbers for a few years.
     
     
    • Gold Top Dog
    The puppy intake numbers were not large enough to be statistically relevant before this change.  Now they are even lower.
     
    Edited to change "numbers" to "puppy intake numbers" above. 
     
    Results that could be explained by people moving 20 miles (or driving 20 miles to another shelter) just don't mean anything here.  Lowering one city's numbers by raising those of a nearby city doesn't show the success of mandatory s/n.