I heard a very interesting interview with the author of The Politics and Science of Fear. He brought up some very good examples of how we access risk. His main point being that we tend to react and change behaviour related to risks that are very low and/or we have no or little control over, yet high risks and controllable risks we tend to ignore. Here are just a few examples he talked about.
TERRORISM:
The so-called "war on terror", has cost
the American taxpayer up to $2 trillion, and yet the chance of dying in
a terrorist attack is infinitesimally small compared with that of dying
from cancer or heart disease or flu.
In the year following the 9/11 attacks, a surge in road travel in the US led to 1,595 extra deaths on our highways, six times the number killed on the doomed aircraft.
Does our gov't spend our money based on good science/logic or on fear? Did we actually put ourselves in greater danger by opting to drive instead of flying?
DISEASE:
In England people stopped buying turkey meat for fear of contracting
avian flu, 12,000 Britons die each year
from ordinary flu (unreported in the media) and so far not one has died
of bird flu; nor has anyone, anywhere, ever caught bird flu by eating
turkey.
Same with reports of hoarding Tamiflu. We are afraid of dieing in a pandemic yet many us do not vaccinate against the flu or are particularily diligent in hand washing yet we are afraid to buy turkeys!
When we read "Cancer is now the number one killer", should we
cower or celebrate? Most people will cower, assuming that cancer is on
the rise, but they forget: something has to be the number one killer,
and cancer may have moved to the number one spot, not because more
people are getting it, but because a cure has been found for whatever
it was that was killing more people before.
CHILD ABDUCTION:
The chances of having a child stolen and killed or simply vanish is 0.00007% or one in 1,4 million, which is negligible.
Yet how many parents are so afraid of child abduction that they drive their kids back and forth from school? Are the risk of being injured in a traffic accident or developing over weight children not higher?
Anyways I thought it was very interesting.